Expectations
Banknotes: April to June 2022
A round-up of news and salient issues that have affected central bankers in the past three months
BoE opts for 25bp hike as growth disappoints
Weakening economy and high inflation leave policy-makers divided
Fed meets inflation surge with 75bp hike
Unexpected spike in inflation and expectations spurs committee into rare policy aggression
Rates round-up: Peru, Poland and Serbia tighten policy
Moldovan central bank faces commission of inquiry; Uzbekistan partially unwinds earlier hike
US inflation expectations inch higher
New York Fed survey finds rise in expectations at one-year horizon, but not at longer term
CBDC and bank intermediation in the eurozone
An assessment of the impact different ‘digital euro’ designs related to remuneration and usage limits could have on the banking system, including during times of stress*
Paper explains why ‘Fed put’ is not as reliable as investors might like
Disagreement between Fed and market can create perception central bank is “behind the curve”
Rates round-up: Israel surprises with larger hike
Central banks in Pakistan, Nigeria, Ghana, Paraguay and Jamaica also tighten policy
Central banks use wide array of external comms channels
Institutions employ about 10 media formats on average, and almost all use social media
Czech board raises rates in split vote
Central bank increases inflation forecast and awaits new governor appointment
Early comms involvement in policy raises effectiveness
Teams involved in earlier stages of policy report communications are more successful
BoE raises rate to 1% as recession risks mount
Inflation expected to climb above 10% and GDP growth to drop to around zero
RBI hikes at unscheduled monetary policy meeting
India joins race to tighten policy, amid “vortex” of economic forces
South Korean inflation climbs to 13-year high
Central bank concerned about record price rises
Bank of Russia continues unwinding giant rate hike
Central bank cuts rate 300 basis points to 14%, in second reduction this month
Botswana hikes newly introduced policy rate
Central bank announces first rate increase since 2008 as inflation stays in double digits
Maintaining trust is top focus of comms teams
Benchmarking data sheds light on how central banks measure the effectiveness of communications
Kazakhstan raises policy rate by 50 basis points
Inflation hit 12% in March and expectations are “not anchored”
Most central banks are bilingual communicators
Only a handful communicate in three languages, but it is common to translate at least some documents
Andrew Bailey acknowledges risk of ‘over-tightening’
Senior economists discuss how to avoid stagflation during a fragile moment for the global economy
New Zealand’s inflation hits 30-year high
Labour shortages also affecting many businesses
UK faces possible inflation ‘ratchet’ – BoE’s Mann
MPC member says shocks to UK economy have “piled on top of each other”
PBoC announces policies to help pandemic-stricken economy
Package of 23 measures echoes actions taken in 2020
Canada and New Zealand step up rate hikes
Both central banks raise rates by 50bp in bid to “head off” rising inflation expectations