Labour market
Immigration reduces inflation in US – IMF paper
But immigrants put upward pressure on house prices, study finds
Imported inflation waning but still present – BoE’s Dhingra
MPC member tells panel that another energy shock could still trigger renewed price hikes in UK
Uncertainty is the only sure thing – BoE’s Lombardelli
Deputy governor says bank will use scenario planning to communicate uncertainty during volatility
UK inflation could stay closer to 2% than forecast – BoE deputy
Dave Ramsden presents evidence that disinflation could continue its recent trend
Bailey: UK must stay open for business
BoE governor calls for bridges to be built with EU countries and others
Bank of England cuts policy rate to 4.75%
Policy committee votes by 8–1 to reduce bank rate by 25bp
Combining central banking orthodoxy with innovation
Sergiy Nikolaychuk argues the future of central banking centres on adaptability as well as independence
Policy tightening reduces labour productivity and presence – paper
Lower participation and labour supply have inflationary effects, Bank of Canada authors find
Differences in eurozone states ‘support disinflation narrative’
BdF deputy governor confident inflation will keep falling based on wage developments
The Fed can afford to loosen policy
As (nearly) the world’s most hawkish central bank, the Federal Reserve is right to start monetary loosening, writes Steve Kamin
Lower-paid workers face greatest impact from AI – BIS paper
Risk of core skills being replaced, and jobs being lost, is higher for people on low incomes
Banknotes: July to September 2024
A round-up of news and salient issues that have affected central bankers in the past three months
Campos Neto on inflation targeting, independence and the future of financial intermediation
The Brazilian governor speaks with Christopher Jeffery about tackling inflation, the need for financial autonomy, and redefining the financial landscape with open finance, programmable Pix, deposit tokenisation and sound cross-border payments governance
‘Beveridge threshold’ can explain US soft landing – study
Gauti Eggertson tells Jackson Hole attendees why many economists were too gloomy about growth
Greedflation, if it ever existed, is correcting itself
Steve Kamin constructs a “wage gap” to assess inflationary pressures in the US
US housing may become increasingly affordable – paper
Authors cite income growth and housing price appreciation that trails inflation as contributory factors
‘State-dependent’ model sheds light on inflation surge
Bank of Spain’s Galo Nuño says changing key pricing assumption helps explain “immaculate disinflation”
Did the Fed make a mistake holding rates in July?
Experts warn Fed not to signal “panic” but to be ready to act aggressively if needed
BoE should hold rates until pressures have eased, Haskel says
Changes to labour market estimates helped shift policy decisions, MPC member says
Ukraine’s governor on central banking as war endures
The NBU’s Andriy Pyshnyy speaks about the need for investment and reform amid labour shortages, securing war-risk insurance and Ukrainian funding from Russia’s frozen assets