Labour market
Combining central banking orthodoxy with innovation
Sergiy Nikolaychuk argues the future of central banking centres on adaptability as well as independence
Lower-paid workers face greatest impact from AI – BIS paper
Risk of core skills being replaced, and jobs being lost, is higher for people on low incomes
Banknotes: July to September 2024
A round-up of news and salient issues that have affected central bankers in the past three months
Campos Neto on inflation targeting, independence and the future of financial intermediation
The Brazilian governor speaks with Christopher Jeffery about tackling inflation, the need for financial autonomy, and redefining the financial landscape with open finance, programmable Pix, deposit tokenisation and sound cross-border payments governance
‘Beveridge threshold’ can explain US soft landing – study
Gauti Eggertson tells Jackson Hole attendees why many economists were too gloomy about growth
Greedflation, if it ever existed, is correcting itself
Steve Kamin constructs a “wage gap” to assess inflationary pressures in the US
US housing may become increasingly affordable – paper
Authors cite income growth and housing price appreciation that trails inflation as contributory factors
‘State-dependent’ model sheds light on inflation surge
Bank of Spain’s Galo Nuño says changing key pricing assumption helps explain “immaculate disinflation”
Did the Fed make a mistake holding rates in July?
Experts warn Fed not to signal “panic” but to be ready to act aggressively if needed
BoE should hold rates until pressures have eased, Haskel says
Changes to labour market estimates helped shift policy decisions, MPC member says
Ukraine’s governor on central banking as war endures
The NBU’s Andriy Pyshnyy speaks about the need for investment and reform amid labour shortages, securing war-risk insurance and Ukrainian funding from Russia’s frozen assets
Malaysia’s Rasheed expects a “bumpy road” for EM currencies
Governor Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour says BNM will intervene if needed ahead of future Fed cut; rules out capital controls but has encouraged institutions to repatriate earnings
BNM’s Rasheed on inflation, growth and currency performance in emerging markets
Bank Negara Malaysia’s governor speaks about balancing inflation and growth, supporting the ringgit, multilateral currency settlement and greening Islamic finance
Twenty years on, Visegrád states are converging to rest of the EU
Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia have undergone economic transformation, CNB finds
Profit inflation and monetary policy: weighing the evidence
Biagio Bossone says profit inflation needs monetary ‘fuel’ to rise – but fiscal policy is the best fix, should governments have the ‘guts’
Fed policy-makers express frustration over price rises
Officials draw differing conclusions on the outlook for the labour market
BoE hints at possible cuts before Fed
Rate cuts may exceed market expectations, Andrew Bailey says
Banxico paper probes forced labour’s lingering effects in Ecuador
High forced labour involvement is associated with decreased descendants’ income
Research probes US consumers’ dislike of inflation
People prefer inflation close to zero but may misunderstand the underlying processes, studies find
UK inflationary pressure easing, BoE deputy says
Ramsden breaks inflation process into four steps, finding persistent elements are weakening