Productivity
Rates have been falling for eight centuries – BoE research
Study casts doubt on major theories, including secular stagnation; author warns rates could “soon enter permanently negative territory”
Global climate cycles create varied growth challenges – paper
Changing climate has different impact on growth depending on country’s normal climate, researchers find
T&T governor calls for productivity reforms
Alvin Hilaire says improvement still required despite recent increase in productivity
US growth trend could fall for the next 10 years, SF Fed paper warns
Productivity slowdown in construction has contributed 30% of slowdown since 1950s, researchers find
King calls for radical shake-up to escape ‘low-growth trap’
Central bank models fail to appreciate demand-side secular stagnation; IMF could help to drive country-specific policies to reallocate resources
Tackling ‘dead-end’ monetary policy
A shift to lower inflation targets would help central banks escape forever-loose monetary policy, writes former IMF chief Jacques de Larosière
BIS authors offer advice on escaping low inflation trap
Luiz Pereira da Silva and co-authors say “snapback” unlikely, given changing labour markets
Israel’s Yaron calls for targeted spending as elections draw near
Governor says fiscal policy must seek to boost living standards while maintaining discipline
Brexit may have cost the UK 5% of productivity – BoE paper
Study draws on newly developed survey of decision-makers at UK firms
Overcoming deflation: Japan’s experience and challenges ahead
Bank of Japan governor Haruhiko Kuroda explains how Japan’s long battle against deflation may offer insights for the future conduct of monetary policy at other central banks
Reforms have cut Latin American unemployment – IMF paper
But informal employment and inequality remain high, researcher says
BIS paper looks at low returns on safe assets
Changing risk perceptions explain growing wedge between safe and risky assets, authors say
The calm before the storm – The climate change 2019 survey
As climate-related risks to the financial sector become increasingly understood, central banks are demonstrating their willingness to develop capabilities to analyse the impact and modify their policies. A new survey indicates a watershed for central…
BoE’s Ramsden highlights unusual patterns of investment and hiring
Weak investment in capital could exacerbate UK’s productivity woes, deputy says
Finding the right partners with the right solutions
Over the past decade, the financial crisis, globalisation and technological changes have driven uncertainty and brought about drastic changes for central banks. Vermeg‘s Yamen Bousrih explores the importance of having a consolidated, coherent and…
The IFF China Report 2019
Insight and perspectives from the world's leaders, premier policy-makers and financiers
The IFF China Report 2019: The Bay Area Development
Located at the start of the Maritime Silk Road, the Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macau Greater Bay Area seeks to harness advanced technology and green finance to catch up with the economically advanced bay areas of New York, San Francisco and Tokyo.
The IFF China Report 2019: Financial deepening, fintech development and green financing
The past 40 years have seen China transform from a recipient of global aid to a major economic centre in its own right. China is now seeking to deepen its markets, gradually open its borders to global financial flows, and promote new and innovative forms…
The IFF China Report 2019: The Belt and Road Initiative
Over the past five years, China has invested more than $70 billion in Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) countries, of which there are now in excess of 100. Leading Chinese and international policy-makers explain how BRI efforts are progressing. This section…
The IFF China Report 2019: Redesigning the international trading and monetary system
Reform of the financial system that brought about the 2007–08 financial crisis has not gone far enough and advanced and emerging market economies must find a more co-operative way forward to ensure globalisation can continue.
The IFF China Report 2019: New globalisation – The path to the future
Multilateral rules and multilateral bodies will need to be upgraded in the coming years to better represent the shift in economic gravity towards Asia, which has emerged as the largest contributor to global growth during the past decade.
Major Swedish firms surprised by continuing economic expansion
Riksbank survey finds major companies do not see signs of imminent recession
GDP needs to be supplemented with welfare measure – economist
Daniel Sichel defends GDP as a measure of production, but says it is not enough on its own
Weak EU banks more likely to prop up ‘zombie firms’, ECB paper says
EU needs insolvency reform to reduce proportion of uncompetitive firms, researchers argue