Growth
South Korea aiming for rate hike as growth recovers
BoK to discuss rate hike in next policy meeting, but quarterly GDP figure shows some weakness
Covid-19 recovery highlights stark inequality between nations – IMF
Policy support and speed of vaccination programmes have widened gaps, Gopinath says
BoE’s Vlieghe: central bankers must speak up about economic fragility
Outgoing MPC member says impact of debt and inequality is “stark”, but goes beyond central banking
BoE paper builds GDP-at-risk model
Authors generate “fat-tailed” distribution to explore economy’s tendency to hit lower bound on rates
The ‘golden age’ of central banking has passed
Central banks face multi-faceted challenges and weakened autonomy amid highly polarised inflation expectations
Somalia’s governor on rebuilding its central bank
Governor Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi discusses reviving Somalia’s war-damaged economy, re-creating a payments system, and dealing with remittances
South African Reserve Bank: the first 100 years
Central bankers and academics reflect on a tumultuous first century for Africa’s oldest central bank
The RBI’s next big question: how to normalise monetary policy?
India’s central bank needs to plan an exit from its efforts to manage the ‘impossible trinity’
BIS annual report: ‘disaster averted’ but world ‘not out of the woods’
Report weighs up three scenarios for “pandexit”, none of them without drawbacks
BIS’s Luiz Pereira on tackling the climate crisis
Deputy general manager highlights the challenge posed by radical uncertainty, the benefits of carbon budgeting, and the case for acting now
Inflation, Fed policy and emerging markets: the good, the bad and the ugly
Steve Kamin explores the global implications of rising inflation and interest rates in the US
Rising spillover risks from macro-prudential policies
Tools used to restrict credit in specific sectors can increase the riskiness of credit in other areas, creating challenges in the use of household-specific and corporate credit-calming measures, write Lucyna Górnicka and Apoorv Bhargava
Bank of England holds interest rates and asset purchases
MPC wants evidence spare capacity is being reduced but Haldane votes for lower asset purchases
Charles Goodhart on inflation targets, financial stability and the role of money
The LSE professor says inflation targets should have been 0%, the Fed’s move to AIT is a mistake, independence is under threat from inflation, big balance sheets support liquidity, AI can help supervisors and climate stress tests are unconvincing
Uganda’s central bank cuts rates to historic lows
Uncertainty around the future path of Covid-19 weighs on growth prospects, governor says
It’s time to smash Iran’s endemic inflation
As Iran goes to the polls, high inflation is still plaguing the economy. Steve Hanke looks at solutions
Powell says US is recovering faster than expected
Majority of FOMC members now expect policy rate hike in 2023, with no decision yet on taper
Spanish governor favours green monetary policy
Hernández de Cos stresses ECB should account for climate risks in its price stability mandate
Germany facing ‘strong upswing’ – Bundesbank
Central bank revises 2021 GDP growth forecast from 3% to 3.7%
Global recovery is ‘double edged’ for EMEs – Carstens
“Too soon” to say whether inflation will be sustained but markets may overreact, says BIS chief
ECB poised to clarify tapering of PEPP purchases
Analysts agree central bank views higher inflation as transitory and will maintain rate of purchases
ECB policy paper says unconventional policy worked
Paper says QE purchases explain “lion’s share” of changes to eurozone yield curves
Inequality can worsen recessions – BIS paper
But authors say there is little evidence that income inequality affects consumption in normal times
A return of the inflation monster?
There are fears that a shift in intellectual approach towards running economies ‘hot’ could herald a return of the money-eating inflation era