Data
Doing nothing is ‘least costly’ response to US tariffs – BoF blog
Costs will be borne by American firms and households, Bank of Finland analysis shows
Energy price rises have stronger effects than decreases – study
Asymmetric effects of gas and crude oil price rises could lead to tighter monetary policy
The hidden dynamics behind China’s BoP ‘errors and omissions’
Marcello Minenna highlights the possible implications an unaccounted-for £30bn has for the PBoC
Cloud and AI ‘dramatically improving’ data use at BoE
UK central bank creates cloud-based platform to streamline processing of its 30,000 data series
High Russian growth ‘extremely unlikely’ – Bank of Finland study
Reports shows labour shortages, capacity constraints are beginning to bite
IMF review of Russia’s economy ‘postponed indefinitely’
Regular Article IV consultation cancelled after international pressure
Rise in UK services inflation curbs bets on BoE rate cut
CPI flat overall, but economists say uptick in core and services numbers likely to make policy-makers pause
Global house prices have ‘almost stabilised’ – BIS
Prices still declining in aggregate, a trend driven mainly by China and the eurozone
BIS publishes centuries of data on central bank balance sheets
New “spliced” series extends back to founding of Sweden’s Riksbank in 17th century
UK CPI up less than expected as services inflation falls
Figures may help allay concerns over persistent wage pressures
Income not main determinant of inflation variances – ECB study
Research claims “fixed shopping basket” method not helpful for measuring differences across households
French energy ‘tariff shield’ cut inflation by 2.6% in 2022 – report
Authors say measures helped to boost household purchasing power and corporate margins
Inflation rebounds in OECD countries
Rising energy costs drive uptick in many economies, but G7 avoids increase
Dollar exchange rate variation affects prices less than euro – Riksbank study
Krona-dollar depreciation often coincides with downturn in demand
UK inflation touches BoE’s target
Alignment with goal expected to be short lived but opens door to rate cuts later in year
Start small to secure resources for AI, central bankers say
Data-driven results could demonstrate GenAI’s usefulness, Summer Meetings hear
Bank of England: time for fourth-generation forecasting tools?
Economists suggest ways to improve BoE’s framework ahead of Bernanke’s report
BoE plans upgrades to data collection process
Overhaul includes work on validation, communications with firms and common data standards
Global house prices close to bottoming out, BIS stats show
Economists puzzle over absence of sharper correction
ECB paper examines household inflation differences
French and German consumer data shows heterogeneity is driven by product choice, research finds
Fed paper presents new way to measure consumer welfare
Consumer preferences change in line with incomes, researcher argues