James Bullard
Fed’s Bullard revises rate projection upward
Policy-maker says bank stress likely to fade but inflation fight continues
US and European policy-makers feel ‘vindicated’ over aggressive hikes
QT may deserve a slower approach than traditional policy, says Jacob Frenkel
Economy’s ‘first responders’ now in the line of fire
Forceful but late interventions to combat inflation raise the risk of central bank overreactions
Williams also expects US to avoid recession this year
Unemployment will likely rise to 4% as growth slows due to tightening process, says NY Fed head
Fed’s Evans and Bullard downplay recession risks
Both presidents looking to increase the policy rate to around 3.5% by the end of the year
Fed mulls tightening on scale not seen for decades
FOMC members now contemplating 50bp rate hikes and major asset sales
Tackling surging inflation
Central banks around the world are grappling with rapid price rises, with some taking very different routes to one another
Fed and ECB officials point to different policy directions
US officials see a rate hike in 2022 as increasingly likely, while eurozone governors rule that out
Fed’s Bullard believes a ‘five-year window’ for AIT is ‘realistic’
St Louis Fed president says “big tent language” was a reason overshoot details were not specified; “precise numerical implementations” can “get you into trouble”
James Bullard on Fed policy, action and governance
St Louis president calls for tapering amid “exceptional” job market and risk of “more persistent” inflation, quantifies ‘big tent language’ for pioneering AIT move, and details Congress’s role in Fed ethics oversight
Fed launches standing repo facilities
Facilities to be open to foreign central banks and domestic primary dealers; FOMC keeps policy on hold
James Bullard on the Fed’s policy review, FSOC and forecasting jobs data
St Louis Fed president discusses his support for average inflation targeting, his concerns about US Treasuries market function, non-bank regulatory weakness and negative rates, as well as the unexpected success in using Homebase data to predict highly…
Covid-19 policy-making and the need for high-speed data
High-frequency data holds the promise of speed and adaptability, but the rush to find alternative economic indicators has the potential to create problems
US unemployment could hit 32%, St Louis Fed says
Unemployment insurance claims see greatest ever post-war rise
FOMC members appear split as meeting nears
Rosengren says “no immediate” need to cut, while Bullard urges Fed to take “aggressive” steps
Bullard says Fed may need to cut rates ‘soon’
Market-implied probability of a cut in September now above 80%
The winners of the 2019 Central Banking Awards
MAS wins central bank of the year, Karnit Flug awarded governor of the year and Zhou Xiaochuan recognised for lifetime achievement; 23 other awards announced
Fed taking cautious stance on rate path
Incoming Fed officials signal there may be a rate-hike pause
US inflation slowdown raises policy challenges
Inflation has seen a lull, but several factors indicate it could rebound
Solid US economy contributes to higher 10-year Treasury yields
Inverted yield curve less likely as long-term growth and inflation expectations rise
St Louis Fed’s Bullard thinks Fed should hold
Flatter yield curve and moderate inflation in US suggest monetary policy shouldn’t be tighter, president says