Honey, I shrunk the Fed. (Not a sci-fi fantasy)

Promoting the discount window may be the Fed’s key to shrinking its $7trn balance sheet, says Bill Nelson

Credit: Risk.net montage

When it comes to its balance sheet, the Federal Reserve seems to be stuck in a feedback loop it could feasibly resolve – without the aid of science fiction.

The Fed is shrinking its securities portfolio by allowing some US Treasuries to mature without replacement – a process known as quantitative tightening (QT). As its assets shrink, so do its liabilities, in particular reserve balances – commercial bank deposits at the Fed. Limits on how far reserve balances can decline will determine when QT

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Geoeconomic reserve management

The world order is evolving. Whether, and how, the international economy remains integrated or shifts into spheres of influence has consequences for central bank policy and reserve management.

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