Research
NY Fed credit survey shows consumers are strapped
Study finds more people are having applications rejected and expect loans to be harder to secure
Professional long-run inflation forecasts are flawed – study
Chicago Fed research says projections are bogged down by cognitive distortions and overconfidence
US homes not adequately insured against disasters – report
Philly Fed study says most households do not have coverage to rebuild following catastrophic damage
Issuing green bonds signals firms’ intent to cut emissions – BIS study
However, instruments are no panacea when it comes to tackling climate change, research says
Rates should stimulate economy in response to tariffs – study
Optimal monetary policy promotes employment and income, Minneapolis Fed paper argues
Credit delinquency rise may be due to home priorities – study
Consumers choosing to repay auto and home loans rather than credit cards, say authors
US tariffs will create persistent inflationary pressures – study
Dallas Fed paper say trade costs raise price levels sustainably above US central bank’s target
Risk of inflation de-anchoring is higher in US than Canada – study
Authors say risk has also risen for both countries post-Covid
Fast payment systems enhance financial inclusion – BIS paper
Researchers examine systems’ spread in Latin America and Caribbean
Data from Covid liquidity programmes could improve markets – BoC study
Anonymising and aggregating information would assist with price discovery, argues research
BIS paper explains monetary policy’s impact on long-run rates
Authors say “forgiving” economy allows central bankers to set policy without clear view of r*
Bigger housing booms create deeper downturns – IMF paper
Rapid home price rises can trigger big economic busts and misallocations of resources, authors find
Fed researcher unveils card fraud simulation model
Author says paucity of data means simulation is increasingly important in study of payment fraud
Trust in Fed leads to lower inflation expectations – study
Political alignment shapes perceptions of central bank and views on economic outlook, NBER paper finds
Gen AI will have varying impact on graduates – Fed study
Automation will lead to job cuts but augmentation of roles could create employment, research claims
US tariffs could have larger-than-expected impact – study
Author suggests trade statistics are being misreported
Tighter policy in 2021 would have had ill effects – NY Fed study
Authors argue inflation would have fallen only modestly while global demand would have suffered
War in Taiwan would cause severe disruption – Fed study
Conflict would be most economically impactful since World War II, says author
US house price-to-rent ratio likely to fall – Dallas Fed study
Expected decline could also signal future course of inflation, research argues
High temperatures slow down economic growth – Banxico paper
Authors say Mexico is warming faster than other countries
Targeted financing would not solve housing crisis – research
National Bank of Denmark argues against allowing premature pension withdrawals for housing